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Golden Globes Predictions – Editor’s Picks

by Christopher N. Malagisi

Golden Globes

I know us conservatives like to beat up Hollywood and its well-deserved! But from time to time, there are some really good films and TV shows that exhibit conservative themes, are well acted, and deserve acclaim.  They will air on NBC tonight at 8pm.

Below is a guide to help you get through the Globes and what we think might win based on our accumulated experience analyzing the Hollywood Foreign Press’ voting patterns – the governing body of the Golden Globes.  Our picks are not necessarily because they exemplify conservative themes, but based primarily around voting patterns of the Hollywood Press.

If anything, watch Ricky Gervais host tonight as he is bound to make Hollywood feel uncomfortable with his non-PC jokes and for giving Hollywood a good rip where its sorely needed.  What do you think of our predictions?

MOVIES

Best Picture, Drama

Will Win: Spotlight

I Wish: The Revenant

Might Win: Mad Max: Fury Road

Spotlight has precursor love and too many people have not seen The Revenant yet.  Mad Max might be possible with Globe audience, moreso than the Oscars, but usually don’t award this type of movie sadly.  Spotlight has been referred to as a great TV movie, but maybe not enough to earn Best Picture.  It will be very interesting for the Oscars if they pick Revenant or Mad Max tonight.  Let’s hope so!

Best Picture, Comedy

Will Win: The Big Short

Might Win: The Martian

Big Short has a lot of precursor love and stellar cast.  Would not be surprised if The Martian beats it though because of universal love for the film.

Best Director

Will Win: Ridley Scott (The Martian)

I Wish: George Miller (Mad Max) or Alejandro Inarritu (Revenant)

Inarritu really deserves this, but with his Oscar win last year, they may want to give to Scott, or even Miller, as they have both never received Best Director before.  Scott has more momentum at the moment; it’s a shame that he’s done better work in the past and did not receive an more recognition then.

Best Actor, Drama

Will Win: Leonardo DiCaprio

Nothing to discuss.  Long overdue and well deserved.  Stunning performance.

Best Actress, Drama

Will Win: Brie Larson (Room)

Might Win: Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Larson has been winning all the precursors, but Ronan has been talked about endlessly as well.  I give Larson the edge though.

Best Actor, Comedy

Will Win: Matt Damon (Martian)

Both Christian Bale and Steve Carrell were nominated for The Big Short, but I think their votes will cancel each other out and Damon has enough love to win this.

Best Actress, Comedy

Will Win: Amy Schumer (Trainwreck)

I Wish: Maggie Smith (Lady in the Van)

Might Win: Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)

Have absolutely no desire to see Trainwreck but everyone says it’s the year of Schumer.  Maggie Smith is more deserving and it will be a shame that someone as awful as Schumer will beat a legend like Smith.  JLaw could be surprise dark horse, except that no one really found joy in “Joy.”

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Might Win: Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies)

Critic snobs are drooling over Rylance, but I think the emotional pull for Stallone being rewarded for an American icon has the edge.  Well-deserved if he wins.  Fans vs. the Critics here J

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Alicia Vikander (Ex Machina)

Might Win: Jennifer Jason Leigh (Hateful 8)

Vikander was fabulous in Ex Machina, but she’s also nominated for Best Actress (Danish Girl). Votes could split, but Globes like to reward fresh talent, and there doesn’t seem to be too much critical love for Tarantino’s Hateful 8.

Best Screenplay

Will Win: Spotlight

Might Win: The Big Short

Spotlight has precursor buzz, but Big Short was really entertaining and educational with a hard subject matter.  If we are to assume Spotlight wins Best Picture, then it should probably receive this as well.  These would be the only two awards it would win then.

Best Picture, Animated

Will Win: Inside Out

Might Win: Anomalisa

There is buzz about Anomalisa.  Globes tend to be an artsy crowd and may like Charlie Kaufman’s animated adult-themed film, but there seems to be a lot more wide-appeal love for Inside Out.

Best Picture, Foreign

Will Win: Son of Saul

Might Win: Mustang

Son of Saul seems unstoppable.  WWII and Holocaust – hard to beat.

Best Original Score

Will Win: Ennio Morricone (Hateful 8)

Might Win: Ryuichi Sakamoto (Revenant)

Morricone is a legend and never won an Oscar.  At age 87, he may get it.  Revenant is powerful, but in a more subtle way.

Best Original Song

Will Win: One Kind of Love (Love & Mercy)

Might Win: See You Again (Furious 7)

I hate this category.  Never understand how these people pick the winners.  My song choice is never one that makes it, so I’ll go with Love & Mercy as it won’t be on the Oscar ballot b/c of some weird arcane rule, and they might want to reward it here as its gotten a lot of press about its exclusion.  But some might like the Paul Walker tribute in See You Again.  Writing on the Wall is a great Bond song, but nothing like Adele’s Skyfall.

 

TELEVISION

Best TV Series, Drama

Will Win: Game of Thrones

Might Win: Mr. Robot

Game of Thrones is no doubt deserving, but Robot seems to have a lot of momentum, and the Globes usually like to reward new shows in their first season.  Give the edge to GoT though as it was a solid and memorable season.

Best TV Show, Comedy

Will Win: Transparent

Might Win: Veep

Dark Horse: Mozart in the Jungle

From all sources, Transparent seems to be having an excellent follow up from its first season.  Lot of love for Veep though.  If Julia Lewis-Dreyfuss wins Best Actress, Comedy, Veep might have a chance.

Best Actor, Drama

Will Win: Jon Hamm

Might Win: Rami Malek

Last chance for Globes to reward Mad Men and Don Draper.  While Robot has momentum at the moment, I think it would be hard for them to not give it Hamm as this is there last opportunity to do so.  Some voters might think they’ll have another opportunity to honor Malek in the future.

Best Actress, Drama

Will Win: Caitriona Balfe (Oulander)

Might Win: Taraji P. Henson (Empire)

Outlander has a lot of hardcore fans, and Empire seems to be more hype than actually producing awards.  Globes can be edgy and I think will reward Outlander.

Best Actor, Comedy

Will Win: Jeffrey Tambor (Transparent)

Won last year, show is still getting critical praise, and he has no real competition this year.

Best Actress, Comedy

Will Win: Julia Louis-Dreyfuss (Veep)

Might Win: Gina Rodriguez (Jane the Virgin)

Lots of love for the former Seinfeld leading lady, and they really like Veep.  Picked Veep last year over Emmy winner Modern Family.  Though Rodriguez won last year, her show has not received more critical acclaim this year.

Best TV Limited Series

Will Win: Fargo

Might Win: American Crime

Dark Horse: Wolf Hall

There is a ton of love for Fargo as they were the winner here last year, and audiences still were watching Season 2.  American Crime though is the new favorite and could beat Fargo.  Dark horse could be the Wolf Hall – no one has really even heard of it, but it’s supposedly well-acted, but not enough to win.

Best Actor, TV Limited Series

Will Win: Idris Elba (Luther)

Might Win: Mark Rylance (Wolf Hall)

Could Win: Patrick Wilson (Fargo)

This is one of the toughest categories.  Elba has been everywhere lately for his Netflix movie Beasts of No Nation, and the Luther following is passionate.  Rylance might have more love for his Best Supporting Actor nomination in Bridge of Spies.  But if Fargo proves to still be popular, it could sweep Best Actor too.  Risky, but I think Elba will get it.

Best Actress, TV Limited Series

Will Win: Lady Gaga (American Horror Story)

Might Win: Kirsten Dunst (Fargo)

Gaga made this year’s show.  Again, if Fargo does a sweep, Dunst may squeak this one out, but I’m giving Gaga the edge as people were impressed that she had acting chops.

Best Supporting Actor, TV Limited Series

Will Win: Tobias Menzies (Outlander)

Might Win: Ben Mendelsohn (Bloodline)

Dark Horse: Christian Slater (Mr. Robot)

Outlander is the new fresh hit, but so is Mr. Robot.  Some people might be cheering on a Slater comeback, but that may’ve not peaked just yet.  Mendelsohn is a favorite character in Bloodline, but might not have the strong momentum as Outlander does.

Best Supporting Actress, TV Limited Series

Will Win: Regina King (American Crime)

Might Win: Uzo Aduba (Orange is the New Black)

Really hard category this year, but I give King the edge as American Crime is the new rage, and Orange love may’ve peaked a year ago.

 

If you want to read a good book about Hollywood and their leftist sympathies during the Cold War, check out Allyn Ryskind’s Hollywood Traitors: Blacklisted Screenwriters – Agents of Stalin, Allies of Hitler. One these “traitors” is Dalton Trumbo.  Trumbo is a movie that was nominated heavily this year due to the popularity of Breaking Bad’s Bryan Cranston portrayal as Dalton Trumbo.  While we still love Cranston for his Breaking Bad role, we’re surprised this would be his first major acting follow up to what was probably the greatest TV show of all time.  Learn how Trumbo, an influential Hollywood screenwriter, was also a communist sympathizer here.

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